Decision Making

A study on what makes some people exceptional at predicting future events, offering insights on decision-making and forecasting skills.

Explores the role of chance in life and business, emphasizing the importance of understanding randomness in financial markets and decision-making.

Provides a framework for making better decisions using insights from cognitive psychology and decision science.

Investigates why people are poor at predicting what will make them happy, delving into cognitive biases and perception.

A multidisciplinary guide to improving thinking and decision-making, drawing from psychology, philosophy, and science.

Investigates the hidden forces that shape our decisions, revealing that human behavior often defies logical economic models.

Analyzes political forecasting, discussing why some experts are more accurate than others and exploring cognitive biases in judgment.

Explores the role of luck versus skill in business, sports, and life, offering insights on decision-making and performance.

Discusses the science of predictions, focusing on why some forecasts fail and how to improve predictive accuracy.

Explores the concept of the "hot hand" phenomenon in sports, decision-making, and risk, and whether it's a real effect or cognitive bias.

Explores the role of mathematics in everyday life, showing how mathematical thinking can prevent common mistakes.

Examines cognitive biases and perceptual illusions, showing how our minds can miss obvious information.

Discusses the power of intuition and rapid cognition, examining how split-second decisions are made.

Examines the role of knowledge in decision-making, analyzing how institutions and incentives shape society.

Explores common decision-making biases and offers strategies for making better choices.

A guide to using historical thinking in decision-making, focusing on the value of hindsight.

Examines the process of decision-making and the importance of foresight.